Pelosi sent out a fund raising letter claiming that according to Nate Silver's Five Thirty Eight the Democrats were going to take six Senate seats. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio. It was in the bag. Here's what was really said.
FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver accused House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of spreading “straight-up misinformation” in a recent fundraising email in which she falsely claimed that the site’s models favored Democrats in several key Senate races.
“Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight just announced that Democrats are poised to win SIX Senate seats this November,” Pelosi wrote, incorrectly stating that the site is predicting that Democrats will win the upcoming contests in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
“This is straight-up misinformation,” Silver said of the email. “We have Democrats as heavy underdogs in Florida and Ohio. ”FiveThirtyEight‘s model gives Republicans a 90 percent chance of holding on to retiring incumbent Rob Portman’s seat in Ohio, and a 94 percent chance of victory in Florida, where Marco Rubio is running for a third term.
FiveThirtyEight has designated races in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Nevada as tossups. Of the races mentioned by Pelosi, only New Hampshire is listed as “lean Democrat.”
Only folks that lie worse than her would be the lurker loons.